Competitive Meta Trends - The Chongqing Major

Published: https://www.reddit.com/r/DotA2/comments/akeg31/competitive_meta_trends_the_chongqing_major/?


Spectral stats guy here. This post is based on data collected during The Chongqing Major group stage and play-off.

Full report is available here


DPC Standings

Team Points
Virtus.pro 7950
Team Secret 7950
Evil Geniuses 4200
PSG.LGD 2250
Ninjas in Pyjamas 1420
Fnatic 1350
Vici Gaming 900
TNC Predator 870

Records

Record Match Value Player Hero
GPM FWD vs VG, Play-off day 2 993 FWD.Resolut1on Terrorblade
XPM Thunder vs Secret game 2, Group stage 930 Secret.Nisha Anti-Mage
Kills PSG.LGD vs FWD game 2, Group stage 21 PSG.LGD.Ameame Phantom Assassin
Deaths PSG.LGD vs EG game 2, Play-off day 6 18 EG.Fly Shadow Shaman
Assists EG vs VG game 2, Play-off day 5 32 EG.Fly Phoenix
KDA with 0 deaths PSG.LGD vs FWD game 2, Group stage 35 PSG.LGD.Ameame Phantom Assassin
KDA with 1+ deaths VP vs Secret game 2, Play-off day 5 29 VP.Solo Lich
Gold Earned FWD vs VG, Play-off day 2 69,940 FWD.Resolut1on Terrorblade
Last hits FWD vs VG, Play-off day 2 1,193 FWD.Resolut1on Terrorblade
Damage to heroes PSG.LGD vs VP game 1, Play-off day 3 83,400 PSG.LGD.Ameame Gyrocopter
Damage to buildings EG vs EHOME game 1, Play-off day 6 24,421 EG.rtz Terrorblade
Hero healing EG vs VG game 2, Play-off day 5 34,096 VG.Ori Dazzle
Damage taken from heroes EG vs VG game 2, Play-off day 5 59,842 EG.rtz Arc Warden
Efficiency on lane EHOME vs Secret game 1, Play-off day 2 117% Secret.zai Doom
Observer wards placed FWD vs VG, Play-off day 2 31 FWD.SVG Lich
Sentries placed PSG.LGD vs VP game 1, Play-off day 3 49 PSG.LGD.xNova Lion
Obs Wards destroyed Fnatic vs J.Storm game 1, Play-off day 3 12 Fnatic.JAbz Lich
Map pings Liquid vs Pango game 3, Group stage 392 ThePango.Ghostik Tidehunter
Stuns Liquid vs Pango game 3, Group stage 258.75 Liquid.Gh Elder Titan
Stuns Gambit vs Keen Gaming, game 2, Group Stage 162.57 KG.Dark Jakiro

Heroes

Overview

Just a quick note before we go: heroes in most contested list are sorted by “Rank”. For those who are wondering how it’s calculated, it’s based on a slightly modified Wilson score formula. It gets wins to total matches ratio as well as contest rate to rank heroes by their power You can sort heroes by other parameters or see the full table right here

Hero Matches Contest Rate Rank Matches Picked Winrate Picked Matches Banned Winrate Banned
Earth Spirit 83 88.30% 100.00 36 61.11% 47 72.34%
Faceless Void 20 21.28% 98.88 10 70.00% 10 90.00%
Timbersaw 36 38.30% 97.75 17 64.71% 19 68.42%
Io 91 96.81% 96.63 8 87.50% 83 46.99%
Centaur Warrunner 58 61.70% 95.51 22 59.09% 36 58.33%
Lich 92 97.87% 94.38 48 54.17% 44 45.45%
Medusa 63 67.02% 93.26 23 56.52% 40 55.00%
Tiny 81 86.17% 92.13 35 57.14% 46 45.65%
Outworld Devourer 69 73.40% 91.01 31 54.84% 38 47.37%
Terrorblade 62 65.96% 89.89 31 51.61% 31 54.84%

Most picked and banned

Picks | Bans

Hero Matches Picked Winrate Picked   Hero Matches Banned Winrate Banned
Lich 48 54.17%   Io 83 46.99%
Grimstroke 40 37.50%   Elder Titan 54 42.59%
Earth Spirit 36 61.11%   Earth Spirit 47 72.34%
Tusk 36 33.33%   Tiny 46 45.65%
Tiny 35 57.14%   Lich 44 45.45%

First stage of draft

Picks | Bans

Hero Matches Picked Winrate Picked   Hero Matches Banned Winrate Banned
Lich 37 59.46%   Io 83 46.99%
Earth Spirit 34 61.76%   Elder Titan 47 40.43%
Tusk 31 35.48%   Earth Sprit 43 74.42%
Tiny 26 61.54%   Dazzle 42 54.76%
Grimstroke 24 33.33%   Tusk 38 34.21%

Hero Combos Graph

This section is sorted by deviation - number of matches played over expected value. Full table is available here

Heroes Matches Winrate Expected matches Deviation Same lane rate  
Phantom Assassin + Magnus 9 44.44% 2.729 6.271 69.68% 55.56%
Lich + Magnus 10 60.00% 4.851 5.149 51.49% 20.00%
Tusk + Terrorblade 11 45.45% 5.936 5.064 46.03% 54.55%
Gyrocopter + Io 5 80.00% 0.213 4.787 95.74% 80.00%
Rubick + Centaur Warrunner 7 71.43% 2.223 4.777 68.24% 28.57%
Dazzle + Terrorblade 7 42.86% 2.473 4.527 64.67% 0.00%

Hero positions

Safelane Core Midlane Core Offlane Core Support
Juggernaut (20, 45.00%) Outworld Devourer (31, 54.84%) Terrorblade (17, 35.29%) Lich (48, 54.17%)
Beastmaster (14, 50.00%) Medusa (16, 68.75%) Dark Seer (17, 58.82%) Grimstroke (38, 39.47%)
Terrorblade (13, 76.92%) Kunkka (11, 36.36%) Juggernaut (13, 53.85%) Tusk (36, 33.33%)
Phantom Assassin (12, 50.00%) Puck (11, 45.45%) Phantom Assassin (13, 46.15%) Earth Spirit (34, 61.76%)
Tidehunter (12, 41.67%) Pugna (9, 55.56%) Centaur Warrunner (12, 66.67%) Sven (22, 45.45%)
Doom (11, 54.55%) Monkey King (8, 50.00%) Tidehunter (10, 50.00%) Tiny (19, 63.16%)

PA, TB and Jugg as offlane cores were most likely some lane swap games.

Players

Notable participants

Complete Teams Summary

Team Matches Winrate Kills Deaths Assists XPM GPM Hero Pool Avg Match duration
Evil Geniuses (EG) 20 60.00% 24.20 24.40 53.30 2,417 2,253 38.00 35:16
Team Secret (Secret) 20 70.00% 22.20 18.90 51.50 2,417 2,235 51.00 31:36
Virtus.pro (VP) 17 64.71% 24.00 23.24 54.65 2,288 2,193 38.00 33:07
EHOME (EHOME) 15 46.67% 23.00 19.27 47.40 2,438 2,118 34.00 33:22
Vici Gaming (VG) 14 50.00% 26.21 19.50 64.29 2,367 2,182 28.00 36:02
PSG.LGD (PSG.LGD) 13 61.54% 27.38 22.92 65.31 2,585 2,290 34.00 37:51
Fnatic (Fnatic) 13 69.23% 25.23 21.00 65.23 2,570 2,222 31.00 37:20
Team Liquid (Liquid) 11 54.55% 23.45 24.27 55.36 2,397 2,244 32.00 38:50
TNC Predator (TNC) 10 40.00% 22.10 24.30 54.60 2,367 2,161 29.00 34:37
Forward Gaming (FWD) 10 40.00% 22.40 26.70 57.60 2,211 2,082 28.00 38:30
Chaos Esports Club (CHAOS) 9 33.33% 12.22 24.33 27.89 1,894 1,926 29.00 26:50
Alliance (Alliance) 8 37.50% 16.00 21.25 37.13 2,050 2,004 23.00 29:59
Thunder Predator (ThunderP) 8 25.00% 21.88 23.13 46.00 2,106 1,939 23.00 32:37
The Pango (ThePango) 8 37.50% 17.38 25.63 48.38 2,041 2,025 24.00 36:58
J.Storm (J.Storm) 7 14.29% 21.29 29.43 54.43 2,025 2,006 22.00 44:13
Team Aster (Aster) 5 0.00% 9.20 23.20 19.20 1,713 1,610 18.00 27:03

Team Secret’s favorite heroes

Favorite Heroes Favorite Pairs
Shadow Shaman: 6 - 83.33% Shadow Shaman + Tidehunter: 3 - 66.67%
Sven: 5 - 100.00% Sven + Shadow Shaman: 2 - 100.00%
Outworld Devourer: 5 - 60.00% Shadow Shaman + Medusa: 2 - 100.00%
Grimstroke: 4 - 25.00%  

Notable matches


/u/WizBornstrong: You are missing out a data on Arteezys number of won 3rd places. https://www.reddit.com/r/DotA2/comments/9y9xas/competitive_meta_trends_kuala_lumpur_major/e9zua8p/

And yet again, full report is available here

Some notes about the 7.20e Meta based on Immortal Rank stats

Spectral Alliance

Nerds Hero Builds project - Hero builds project based on stats, high rank data and hero spammers thoughts

Thanks to OpenDota and Stratz for their awesome APIs.