Competitive Meta Trends - PGL The Bucharest Minor 2019

Published: https://www.reddit.com/r/DotA2/comments/afy9p9/competitive_meta_trends_pgl_the_bucharest_minor/


Spectral stats guy here. This post is based on data collected during The Bucharest Major 2019 group stage and play-off.

Full report is available here


DPC Standings

Team Points
Virtus.pro 4950
Team Secret 3000
Evil Geniuses 2100
Ninjas in Pyjamas 1420
PSG.LGD 900
TNC Predator 720
Fnatic 450
Vici Gaming 450

Records

Record Match Value Player Hero
GPM Gambit vs Keen Gaming, game 2, Group Stage 973 Gambit.Daxak Anti-Mage
XPM Team Team vs Boom ID, game 2, Playoff 904 BOOM.Fervian Juggernaut
Kills NiP vs Keen Gaming, game 3, Playoff 22 KG.old eLeVeN Death Prophet
Deaths Gambit vs Keen Gaming, game 2, Group Stage 16 Gambit.Immersion Io
Assists Gambit vs Keen Gaming, game 2, Group Stage 30 Gambit.0ld_AKyJlbi4 Centaur Warrunner
KDA with 0 deaths Keen Gaming vs NiP, game 1, Playoff 26 KG.old eLeVeN Sven
KDA with 1+ deaths NiP vs Keen Gaming, game 3, Playoff 35 KG.一 Dazzle
Gold Earned Gambit vs Keen Gaming, game 2, Group Stage 69,537 Gambit.Daxak Anti-Mage
Last hits Gambit vs EHOME, game 1, Playoff 1,059 EHOME.eGo Terrorblade
Damage to heroes Gambit vs EHOME, game 1, Playoff 67,467 EHOME.ASD Sniper
Damage to buildings Team Team vs Gambit, game 3, Playoff 20,487 Gambit.Daxak Medusa
Hero healing Gambit vs Keen Gaming, game 2, Group Stage 21,740 Gambit.Immersion Io
Damage taken from heroes Gambit vs EHOME, game 3, Grand Final 56,849 Gambit.Daxak Meepo
Efficiency on lane Team Team vs Gambit, game 2, Playoff 114% Gambit.Daxak Medusa
Observer wards placed Gambit vs Keen Gaming, game 2, Group Stage 33 Gambit.Fng Undying
Sentries placed Boom ID vs Team Team, game 1, Playoff 64 TEAMTEAM.ixmike88 Bane
Obs Wards destroyed Gambit vs Keen Gaming, game 2, Group Stage 8 Gambit.Fng Undying
Map pings EHOME vs Keen Gaming, game 2, Playoff 338 EHOME.eGo Clinkz
Stuns Gambit vs Keen Gaming, game 2, Group Stage 162.57 KG.Dark Jakiro

Heroes

Overview

Just a quick note before we go: heroes in most contested list are sorted by “Rank”. For those who are wondering how it’s calculated, it’s based on a slightly modified Wilson score formula. It gets wins to total matches ratio as well as contest rate to rank heroes by their power You can sort heroes by other parameters or see the full table right here

Hero Matches Contest Rate Rank Matches Picked Winrate Picked Matches Banned Winrate Banned
Lich 34 72.34% 100.00 15 73.33% 19 47.37%
Earth Spirit 41 87.23% 98.85 17 52.94% 24 66.67%
Outworld Devourer 30 63.83% 97.70 7 71.43% 23 56.52%
Pugna 23 48.94% 96.55 9 66.67% 14 64.29%
Tusk 47 100.00% 95.40 21 47.62% 26 61.54%
Huskar 26 55.32% 94.25 4 50.00% 22 63.64%
Anti-Mage 20 42.55% 93.10 7 85.71% 13 38.46%
Io 38 80.85% 91.95 9 33.33% 29 62.07%
Centaur Warrunner 21 44.68% 90.80 12 66.67% 9 44.44%
Phantom Assassin 10 21.28% 89.66 10 70.00% 0 0.00%

Most picked and banned

Picks | Bans

Hero Matches Picked Winrate Picked   Hero Matches Banned Winrate Banned
Tusk 21 47.62%   Io 29 62.07%
Earth Spirit 17 52.94%   Beastmaster 27 40.74%
Tiny 17 58.82%   Tusk 26 61.54%
Dazzle 16 43.75%   Earth Spirit 24 66.67%
Lich 15 73.33%   Outworld Devourer 23 56.52%

First stage of draft

Picks | Bans

Hero Matches Picked Winrate Picked   Hero Matches Banned Winrate Banned
Tusk 17 41.18%   Io 28 64.29%
Earth Spirit 16 56.25%   Beastmaster 25 36.00%
Dazzle 14 42.86%   Earth Sprit 22 68.18%
Lich 12 75.00%   Tusk 22 59.09%
Tiny 12 58.33%   Dazzle 30 45.00%

Hero Combos Graph

This section is sorted by deviation - number of matches played over expected value. Full table is available here

Heroes Matches Winrate Expected matches Deviation Same lane rate  
Gyrocopter + Io 5 40.00% 0.670 4.330 86.60% 100.00%
Rubick + Centaur Warrunner 5 60.00% 1.532 3.468 69.36% 80.00%
Razor + Earth Spirit 5 40.00% 1.809 3.191 63.83% 20.00%
Dazzle + Earth Spirit 6 33.33% 2.894 3.106 51.77% 16.67%
Brewmaster + Rubick 4 50.00% 1.021 2.979 74.47% 25.00%
Dazzle + Troll Warlord 5 40.00% 2.043 2.957 59.15% 0.00%

Hero positions

Safelane Core Midlane Core Offlane Core Support
Tidehunter (7, 28.57%) Medusa (7, 57.14%) Centaur Warrunner (10, 70.0%) Tusk (21, 47.62%)
Phantom Assassin (7, 57.14%) Pugna (7, 57.14%) Dark Seer (8, 37.50%) Earth Spirit (17, 52.94%)
Troll Warlord (6, 16.67%) Outworld Devourer (7, 71.43%) Tidehunter (6, 33.33%) Lich (15, 73.33%)
Gyrocopter (5, 40.00%) Razor (6, 66.67%) Sven (5, 40.00%) Dazzle (11, 45.45%)
Tiny (4, 75.00%) Kunkka (6, 50.00%) Beastmaster (5, 60.00%) Rubick (10, 50.00%)
Juggernaut (4, 25.00%) Troll Warlord (5, 80.00%) Faceless Void (5, 60.00%) Grimstroke (9, 33.33%)

Players

Notable participants

Complete Teams Summary

Team Matches Winrate Kills Deaths Assists XPM GPM Hero Pool Avg Match duration
KEEN GAMING (KG) 16 50.00% 27.00 23.38 62.19 2,360 2,108 36.00 35:22
Gambit Esports (Gambit) 15 60.00% 24.60 20.73 63.07 2,425 2,323 35.00 37:34
Ninjas in Pyjamas (NiP) 14 50.00% 21.50 25.36 45.57 2,184 2,072 42.00 34:47
EHOME (EHOME) 12 91.67% 31.25 19.08 71.17 2,834 2,394 34.00 37:16
OG (OG) 11 45.45% 20.45 27.64 44.55 2,207 2,036 36.00 30:11
TEAM TEAM (TEAMTEAM) 11 36.36% 22.45 25.64 51.45 2,341 2,045 33.00 36:12
BOOM ID (BOOM) 9 33.33% 26.00 25.89 57.11 2,281 2,032 29.00 32:51
Playmakers (Pmakers) 6 0.00% 10.83 32.67 23.67 1,579 1,524 24.00 28:51

EHOME’s favorite heroes

Favorite Heroes Favorite Pairs
Tiny: 5 - 100.00% Sven + KotL: 3 - 66.67%
Oracle: 4 - 100.00% Lion + Beastmaster: 2 - 100.00%
Keeper of the Light: 4 - 75.00% Tiny + Elder Titan: 2 - 100.00%
Sven: 3 - 66.67%  

Notable matches


And yet again, full report is available here

I’ve also updated SA twitter account and publish english version of all the news and updates related to Spectral Alliance, stats and meta trends posts.

And there’s also the Nerds Hero Builds project, check it out!

Thanks to OpenDota and Stratz for their awesome APIs.